Glenn Singer - Supply Chain Connections
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Wednesday, December 5, 2007
There is Strength in Numbers
Dec 5 2007 6:58AM | Permalink | Email this | Comments (1) |
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• The housing decline will run through 2009
• The remodeling market is not counter cyclical to home building and it will continue decline over the next two years
• Non-residential construction will begin a decline in 2008
• Building products manufacturers will continue to see declining sales
I urge home builders to take the lead and pull together a team of trade contractors and manufacturers to eliminate inefficiencies in the supply chain and building process. I also want to encourage builders to create synergies that can increase process efficiencies and lay off beating trade contractors and manufacturers for a lower price. The real treasure is in process improvement and simplification
If the builder states up front that he/she wants everyone to be profitable then trust will be established and an “open book” relationship can be established which will foster real results for everyone.
Reader Comments
at 3/9/2008 2:35:58 PM, Recession Blues...Not said:
The economic forecasts sound more grim than they actually are. Dire predictions of downturn in the construction trades are just that. Dire predictions. The construction trade is not big enough to service the market, but competition is stiff. The current supply of adequate housing is now twenty years behind the demand in California. In Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, and Utah it appears that the slowdown has taken hold, but in this case what you see is not based on fact. An expanding population, from birthrate and influx, puts the lie to the emotional noise coming from the news services. Dropping prices mean just that...dropping prices. Some would call it a market correction, but this name has nothing to do with the truth. In fact, the slowdown is merely a pause while big money grabs whatever it can from frightened or over-indebted people. How does this affect the building business? The jobs don't move at the same velocity as they did just six months past, but they still move. The competition is a bit tougher, but the market winnows out the ones who can't outlast the emotional decisions of the buyers. The construction situation should begin to move again around August or September of 2008, far enough ahead of the elections to relax the tension and unease of the market. If a business friendly party takes the election in November, the upturn will continue. Add to this the loosening money and lower interest rates, and construction will take off, and the contruction companies and individuals that weathered the hiccup in the business climate will be ready to take advantage of a growing market. A modest inspection of history says that prior to an election business is usually good because those in office like to stay in office, so it benefits them to ensure a rosy economy in the private sector. Today, the members of the construction industry, from big builders down to the individual tradesmen, has a golden opportunity to address the way commerce is handled by improving the accountability of all concerned. Contractors are already regulated to a great degree by the BBB and by the licensing boards, but what about the clients? How are they regulated? In fact they are not...except by word of mouth, and in a large city that's like yelling from a fast moving train. How about suppliers who short order, back order, or just plain show up late? What about architects or engineers or inspectors who make life miserable due to lack of experience or just plain meaness? Ever try to complain about them. Might as well kiss the profit good bye because they can ruin you. As long as you have a few free moments in the business lull, why not take some action to help clean up the business? Go to thecontractorsside.com and get involved with letting your complaints be known. State your case, and let the rest of the business know about those who stand in the way of your profit or even in the way of your pay. You are not poisoning the well. If the person your complaining about did you wrong, they already poisoned that well, and if you don't speak up, you're letting them get away with it...and whoever comes behind you drinks the same poison. If they didn't complain, they're letting you drink from that well. Speak up, sign up, give someone a heads-up, and maybe they're giving you a heads-up on your next job. Go to thecontractorsside.com and help the business, others, and yourself at the same time.



