Home builder confidence up four points in October

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose four points to 18 on the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) for October, which was released Tuesday, according to NAHB's blog. This is the largest one-month gain the index has seen since the home buyer tax credit program helped spur the market in April of 2010.

"This latest boost in builder confidence is a good sign that some pockets of recovery are starting to emerge across the country as extremely favorable interest rates and prices catch consumers' attention," said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. "However, it's worth noting that while some builders have shifted their assessment of market conditions from 'poor' to 'fair,' relatively few have shifted their assessments from 'fair' to 'good.' One reason is that builders are facing downward pricing pressures from foreclosed homes at the same time that building materials costs are rising, and this is further squeezing already tight margins."

Each of the HMI's three component indexes recorded substantial gains in October. The component gauging current sales conditions rose four points to 18, the component gauging sales expectations in the next six months rose seven points to 24, and the component gauging traffic of prospective buyers rose three points to 14.
Regionally, the West led all other areas of the country with its nine-point gain to 21 – the highest HMI score for that region since August of 2007. The Midwest and South each recorded four-point gains, to 15 and 19, respectively, while the Northeast held unchanged at 15.

For more information: www.nahb.org/news_details.aspx?newsID=13717