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Ear to the Ground

Bill Lurz
Being around as long as I have gives me the benefit of having a vast network of contacts across the housing industry – 30 years worth. I’ve spent a lot of that time with one ear to the ground and a telephone growing out of the other. Now I’ll have the ability to share with you what I hear faster than ever before.

Friday, May 23, 2008

Southern California Land Values Still Dropping

May 23 2008 8:44AM | Permalink | Email this | Comments (0) |
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Many of the largest home builders lost their shirts in the last couple of years on investments in Southern California's housing land pipeline. And the down cycle in land values has now gone on long enough that it's catching some big fish, including CalPERS, the immense California Public Employees Retirement System.

A real estate partnership involving the huge pension fund is now scrambling to restructure a loan after failing to make a payment on more than $1 billion borrowed to purchase thousands of acres of residential land north of Los Angeles. LandSource Communities Development LLC is now negotiating with a syndicate of more than 100 banks headed by Barclays Capital Inc. — trying to restructure the $1.24 billion in debt. LandSource received notice of default from the banking syndicate in late April, after missing a payment when a decline in the assessed value of 15,000 acres of undeveloped land in the Santa Clarita Valley triggered an additional charge, says Tamara Taylor, a spokeswoman for LandSource.

"It was a remargining payment that was required because the land was reappraised by the bank group and the land had lost value," Taylor told an Associated Press reporter. The land was appraised at $2.6 billion at the time of purchase last year.

All of this has to have a familiar ring to home builders, but now it's the bargain-hunting investors that used to circle the builders who are dangling from a hook. MW Housing Partners acquired 68 percent of this particular property from home building giant Lennar Corp. and LNR Property Corp., a unit of Cerberus Capital Management LP. Lennar and LNR each still maintain a 16 percent interest.

CalPERS, with $254.8 billion in assets, holds a stake in MW Housing Partners.

One thing is certain: anyone counting on California land returning to 2005 values over the next few years is heading for a fall.

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